Now that we understand how RNGs work, we can continue our discussion about online gambling scams and conclude with the possibilities of poker bots being programmed to cheat the players through online poker sites.
There are numerous methods to steal money from people, online, but for the purpose of our conversation we are only interested in the gambling-related online scams. We will bypass the whole conversation about how hackers may be able to obtain personal information, through gambling site, including credit card numbers, passwords, bank account information, and so on. We are only interested in the scams that would be the online equivalent of stacking the deck, or using marked cards, so to speak. There have also been claims that some hackers were able to break right into the servers of internet sites. For now we should skip that conversation, too, because that is more related to hacking than to gambling.
One of the possibilities of online poker cheating involves hole card information. As in any card game, if you know what cards the other players have, you have a tremendous edge. In fact, being able to see hole cards in an online poker game could be defined as the cyber space equivalent of using marked cards. But in the case of predictable RNG results it could also be defined as the online equivalent of a stacked deck. Whatever the definition, what would be the easiest way to obtain hole card information?
The easiest way would actually be by running a rigged poker game, by the actual poker site. I know, most of the readers will be rolling their eyes, again, at the mere mention of poker sites cheating their own customers, but I've already said all I had to say about this subject, under the heading Do Gambling Sites Cheat?.
If you just accept the hypothetical possibility that some of the poker sites could cheat, you have to agree that there would not be much room for the development of some other online gambling scam that would surpass this scam in its simplicity. A poker site has everything at its fingertips and they do not need to crack any secure accounts to obtain the needed information, since all the users are already "securely" logged-in onto their servers.
If a poker site is able to see hole card information, which obviously it can, it would be a piece of cake for them to beat the players in the long run. To eliminate "bad beats" they could also perform the cyber space equivalent of a second deal, and put the desired cards on the board. Even if we reject the idea that such scams would be orchestrated by the people at the top of the poker sites, we cannot completely dismiss the possibility that some crooked employee may get the clever idea to introduce a virtual player of his own that would see other player's hole cards. After all the concept of employee theft and embezzlement is not a concept that we only encounter in Hollywood movies.
The notion of poker sites perpetrating inside jobs, by cheating their own customers, is a controversial one and we can argue in circles without anyone being able to actually prove anything beyond a reasonable doubt. For this reason I will conclude this discussion and continue discussing possibilities that poker sites and online players alike may be vulnerable to external attacks.
An RNG simulator would be able to replicate the results generated by a gambling site. In the case of a poker site, an RNG simulator would basically show you in advance in what order the virtual cards would be dealt out of the virtual deck. Not only would you know all the players' hole cards; you would also be able to "predict" the flop, turn and the river, before you decide to call the blinds. Can you imagine how much money you could make, if you had that kind of software?
There is no question that it is technically possible to make a piece of software that would replicate the results of another RNG. In fact, an RNG simulator would either be an exact copy of the actual RNG used by a poker site, or it would have a way to secretly communicate with the main RNG and obtain data from there. The only question is, are such RNG simulators really available to the public?
When the news of RNG simulators first hit the streets, I was amazed how naive some people could be while they were describing this amazing technology to me. All of their "knowledge" on the subject was learned through studying the "information" available through a Google search for "online poker cheating RNG." Naturally, the only information that was available, on that subject, at that time, was the information that was put out by the actual people who intended to sell some RNG simulators to suckers like them.
Supposedly, an RNG simulator would be capable to "analyzing" the algorithm of any RNG on any poker site. It would have a learning curve, so you would have to be patient, while the RNG simulator is "learning" how the RNG on the poker site generates the pseudo random distribution of the virtual cards. During that learning curve you would have to be patient and also be ready to go through some bad beats; after all, the RNG simulator has not cracked the algorithm, yet. Then slowly, some of the player's hole cards would show up on your screen and eventually, if you were patient, all the hole cards would be available at the click of a mouse.
What's wrong with this picture?
For one, the genius that was so smart to develop this piece of software must be a complete idiot to make it available to the public. Also, this "learning curve" is a classic element of a con game. It sucks you in. After you've managed to blow a few extra hundred dollars, losing on bad beats, while the RNG simulator is learning, you've committed yourself. Now you have to continue. The few hundreds soon get into thousands. Now you really can't stop.
The RNG simulator supposedly starts showing you some hole cards, first with a low percentage of accuracy, then the accuracy eventually increases, the closer the simulator is able to crack the code. Let me tell you a fact. An RNG is either cracked 100% or 0%. There are no shades of gray; it's either black, or white. There is a far more logical explanation to this step-by-step learning illusion, as we will later see.
But the RNG simulator, as good as it sounds, does not really maximize your profits. After all, you still have to spend countless hours on the computer and manually play the game. And that kind of "work" can eventually wear-out a person, even if you are making thousands of dollars per hour. Wouldn't it be nice if they could just come up with an automated bot that would do all that work for you, so you could just take some time off and come back to count the money? Well, they did come up with a bot just like that. Here it is...
The next generation of a poker bot is not only able to play perfect strategy for you, it is also able to simulate the RNG of any poker site and see all the cards in advance. This is truly a risk free situation. How can you lose?
The images (that I've lifted from the developer's site without permission) show a side by side comparison of the same virtual poker game with and without the cheating system. It is rather obvious that it is much better to play with the cheating system.
Since it would create a conflict if all the online poker players were using the same cheating system, at the same table, the developer is offering to sell this system only to a limited number of customers. Sounds logical, doesn't it? So hurry!
But is it logical? If this cheating system really worked, it would in fact create a conflict, if all the players used it. But by limiting the number of sales the developer is drastically limiting the amount of money he could be making, from the sales of the system. Since when is it a good business tactic to make less money than your full potential, by limiting the number of sales? On top of it, the developer could just run one of his own bots, from his own computer, and make a lot more money that way.
We've just seen that some of the claims made by people who are selling RNG simulators, just don't make sense. There must be a logical explanation for all this. Yes, there is.
If I were trying to develop a poker cheating system, here is what I would do.
First of all, my #1 goal would be to make as much money for myself as possible. This is not immoral. This is just the most logical goal of any logical business venture.
I would develop a piece of software that would be advertised more or less like the ultimate poker cheating bot we've just reviewed. My ad would claim that the RNG simulator needs to "study" and "learn" the algorithm of the RNG simulator from the poker site, and that it would eventually give more and more accurate results. And that is exactly what the software would appear to be doing. I emphasize the word "appear," but in reality my poker bot would be doing something entirely different.
I would hope that the number of people using my system would eventually increase, so that sooner or later there would be more than one person using the same poker bot, or RNG simulator, at the same table, at the same time. Once there are more than one player using my software, both of my bots would just simply communicate with each other and send out hole card information to each other. To each one of the players it would appear as if his bot (my bot) managed to "predict" one of the other player's hole cards. If three bots were in use, three individual players would be under the impression that their bots successfully predicted the hole cards of two other players. Word would eventually get out that this thing really works, and more people would buy it. As soon as more bot users hit the same poker sites, there would be increasingly more and more bots communicating with each other, at the same tables, at the same time. The increasing number of players would be more and more convinced that the little poker devil is finally "learning" the algorithm of the site, because it is showing more hole card information. In a sense, it is an online poker bot pyramid scheme.
So far, this explanation already sounds more logical, more feasible, and simpler, than the official sales pitch. But this still doesn't explain how I would maximize my own profits. Certainly not from the sales of my poker bots.
If I were a software developer, I would design another poker bot, let's call it The Master Poker Bot. My Master Poker Bot would have the capability of monitoring the internet 24/7 and receiving information from all my little bots, let's call those Sucker Bots. Whenever a table would be occupied by several of my Sucker Bots, my Master Poker Bot would jump right in and masquerade as a real player - heck, I would even get out of bed and play the game manually to make sure I type-in all the required security information. All my little Sucker Bots would be sending their hole card information to my Master Bot, but the Master Bot would not display his hole cards to the Sucker Bots. Instead it would be able to calculate all the outs and advise me with optimal strategy so I could crush my little suckers every time.
That is how I would do it. You just have to decide for yourself if my hypothetical explanation has a better chance of being the real explanation on how these RNG simulators and cheating poker bots really work, and what they are really programmed to do.
Does online poker cheating software exist? Of course it does. But it doesn't exist in the sense that most people would believe, or hope. People expect that someone will write-up a piece of software that is guaranteed to make money, and that it would be available for purchase. Who in the right state of mind would sell such a thing, if it really worked?
Victor Lustig, one of the greatest con artists in history whom I already mentioned earlier in this chapter, was also known for selling a machine that was (supposedly) able to print real money. If one really had such a machine, why sell it? How much could anyone possibly pay for it, when one could just print-up some money with it. But amazingly enough, he was able to find suckers who agreed to pay a handsome bundle just to own this thing. The word "gullible" comes to mind.
If poker cheating software existed, as some kind of RNG simulator, such as "peeker," it would in fact be an online version of a machine that makes money. If you had this machine, how much would you sell it for?
But here it may seem that I am contradicting myself. After all, I did say that poker cheating software does exist. Yes, it does, but it is not the type of software that a buyer installs on his computer and waits for money to be transferred to his bank account. We are more looking into the possibilities that a) a poker site may be running a piece of software to skim some money off the top, or b) that some crooked employee of a poker site managed to set-up a virus that does something, or c) that suckers worldwide end up purchasing Trojan horses that will somehow cheat them, along with all the other suckers, out of their own cash. In fact, they are not even real Trojan horses. By definition, a real Trojan horse would have to be a free gift. But this Trojan horse has to be purchased by submitting personal credit card information to some online merchant with questionable moral and ethical standards. Hm, let me think about this one, too.
Finally, if we assume that my speculations about the real workings of this "peeker" software are somewhat correct, which basically means that the software is bogus, we still can't just put the whole issue to rest. Ironically, even if this software is just a scam, designed to cheat its own users, it still poses a threat to anyone else playing against those users. True, the software may not be able to see the hole cards of legitimate players who are not using the software. But users of the software can still see a lot more cards than non-users can, even if they are being set-up for a sting. So, the non-users are at a disadvantage, because some of the users may fold promising-looking monster hands, early in the rounds, without putting the same money into the pots as they normally would, if they didn't know their monster hands were doomed. It may also be more difficult to bluff against a user that knows you could not possibly have the cards you are representing. So, even if this software is bogus, it still affects the game a great deal, and it still can end up costing the square Johns a great deal of money.
For dramatic effect, I decided to leave the best for the end. Yes, there is a way to see opponents' hole cards without orchestrating an inside job on the poker site. But the software that accomplishes this feat is not any kind of "peeker," or RNG simulator, or whatnot that the public can purchase for 50 bucks on eBay. As usual, the secret is much simpler than most people expect.
Have you ever received an email that said something along the lines of: "...get great stock market tips..." or "...legal software..." or whatnot? Some of those e-mails are not as obnoxious as the usual SPAM and even have an "unsubscribe" link at the bottom of the text: "if you do not wish to receive our offers in the future..." blah, blah, blah, "...just click here and you will be removed from our mailing list." Well, if you are an online poker player, I certainly hope you never clicked on some "unsubscribe" link, or whatever link, in any e-mail that came from an unknown source. If you did, you were certainly removed from that mailing list, but you possibly also got a little "free gift" in the process.
The "free gift" is of course a small piece of code, commonly known as a virus. In the case of a poker "peeker" virus, it would be designed to send your hole card information to one of the virtual poker players that you know from various poker sites. Ha! Now you know why that bastard had such a great read on you, and called your bluff.
What is interesting about some well-designed computer viruses is that they have the ability to re-install themselves, in the event that they are deleted from the hard drive. In other words, even if you find the virus and even if you delete it, it will re-install itself automatically next time you boot your computer. The only way to get rid of some of the viruses is to physically replace the hard drive and re-install all your software and your files, one at the time, from scratch.
|© CARDSHARK Online -- All Rights Reserved|